Nuclear Engineering and Technology

Korean Nuclear Society (한국원자력학회)
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PROBABILISTIC APPROACH ON SEISMOGENIC POTENTIAL OF A FAULT

  • Received : 2010.08.02
  • Accepted : 2011.03.09
  • Published : 2011.10.31
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Abstract

Siting criteria for nuclear power plants require that faults be characterized as to their potential for generating earthquakes, or that the absence of the potential for these occurrences be demonstrated. Because the definition of active faults in Korea has been applied by the deterministic method, which depends on the numerical age of fault movement, the possibility of inherent uncertainties exists in determining the maximum earthquake from the fault sources for seismic design. In an attempt to overcome these problems this study suggests new criteria and a probabilistic quantitative diagnostic procedure that could estimate whether a fault is capable of generating earthquakes in the near future.

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References

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