Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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Jurisprudence in the History of Statistics

통계학사 속에서의 법

  • Jo, Jae-Keun (Department of Informational Statistics, Kyungsung University)
  • 조재근 (경성대학교 정보통계학과)
  • Received : 20110700
  • Accepted : 20110800
  • Published : 2011.09.30
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Abstract

The role of jurisprudence is examined in the early history of probability and statistics. From the mid-17th to the early 18th century, Christiaan Huygens and Jacob Bernoulli used mathematical expectation to solve the problems that originated from games of chance. We demonstrate that their concept of expectation as a fair price for participating in a game came from the legal concept of 'fair trade'. In addition, we consider that the probability that Bernoulli defined in his Ars Conjectandi originated from the legal concept of 'degree of certainty'. After considering some contributions of Laplace and Poisson, we examined the history of census and statistical survey in the early 19th century. Contrary to the history of the 17th and 18th century, statistics influenced society and law in the 19th century.

1650년대에 파스칼과 페르마가 주고 받은 편지에서 시작된 확률 연구가 하위헌스, 베르누이, 라플라스 등의 연구로 이어지는 과정에서 당시의 법률적인 사고가 어떤 역할을 하였는지 살펴보았다. 이 연구에서 살펴 본 바에 따르면 초기 확률 연구에서 '기댓값'과 '확률'이라는 새로운 용어와 개념이 생기는 데에는 '공정한 거래', '확실성의 정도'와 같은 법률적인 사고가 큰 역할을 하였던 한편, 19세기 이후 센서스를 비롯한 통계조사가 활발해지면서 거꾸로 통계가 사회적, 법률적 사고방식에 영향을 미치기도 하였다.

Keywords

References

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