Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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A Statistical Analysis on Temperature Change and Climate Variability in Korea

한국의 기온변화와 기온변동성에 대한 통계적 연구

  • Kim, Hyun-Chul (Department of Informatics and Statistics, Kunsan National University) ;
  • Choi, Seung-Kyung (Department of Statistics, Sookmyung Women's University) ;
  • Yun, Bo-Ra (Department of Informatics and Statistics, Kunsan National University)
  • 김현철 (군산대학교 정보통계학과) ;
  • 최승경 (숙명여자대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 윤보라 (군산대학교 정보통계학과)
  • Received : 20101100
  • Accepted : 20101200
  • Published : 2011.01.30
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Abstract

We analyzed the observed temperature data for 50 years on 5 representative points in Korea to verify global warming and the increase in climate variability. We found that there was some level of global warming but we could not disregard the effects of urbanization. In addition, we could not find any information for the increase in climate variability.

우리는기온의변화와기온변동성을알아보기위해한국의다섯지점에서측정한월평균기온, 일최고기온, 일최저기온에 대한 50년간의 장기시계열을 분석하였다. 그 결과 기온은 1960년대에 비해 2000년대에 월평균기온을 기준으로 울산은 연평균 $1.26^{\circ}C$, 서울은 $1.19^{\circ}C$ 상승하였으나 추풍령은 $0.13^{\circ}C$ 상승하여 지점별로 큰 차이가 있었다. 또 계절별로 다른 현상을 나타내기도 하였다. 그러나 기온변동성에 대한 분석결과, 변동성의 증가는 확인할 수 없었다.

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