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Modeling Downstream Flood Damage Prediction Followed by Dam-Break of Small Agricultural Reservoir

농업용 소규모 저수지의 붕괴에 따른 하류부 피해예측 모델링

  • 박종윤 (건국대학교 대학원 사회환경시스템공학과) ;
  • 조형경 (건국대학교 대학원 사회환경시스템공학과) ;
  • 정인균 (건국대학교 대학원 사회환경시스템공학과) ;
  • 정관수 (충남대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 이주헌 (중부대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 강부식 (단국대학교 토목환경공학과) ;
  • 윤창진 (한국농어촌공사 농어촌연구원) ;
  • 김성준 (건국대학교 사회환경시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2010.09.06
  • Accepted : 2010.11.08
  • Published : 2010.11.30

Abstract

This study is to develop a downstream flood damage prediction model for efficient confrontation in case of extreme and flash flood by future probable small agricultural dam break situation. For a Changri reservoir (0.419 million $m^3$) located in Yongin city of Gyeonggi province, a dam break scenario was prepared. With the probable maximum flood (PMF) condition calculated from the probable maximum precipitation (PMP), the flood condition by dam break was generated by using the HEC-HMS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - Hydrologic Modeling System) model. The flood propagation to the 1.12 km section of Hwagok downstream was simulated using HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - River Analysis System) model. The flood damaged areas were generated by overtopping from the levees and the boundaries were extracted for flood damage prediction, and the degree of flood damage was evaluated using IDEM (Inundation Damage Estimation Method) by modifying MD-FDA (Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Analysis) and regression analysis simple method. The result of flood analysis by dam-break was predicted to occurred flood depth of 0.4m in interior floodplain by overtopping under PMF scenario, and maximum flood depth was predicted up to 1.1 m. Moreover, for the downstream of the Changri reservoir, the total amount of the maximum flood damage by dam-break was calculated nearly 1.2 billion won by IDEM.

Keywords

References

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