Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation (한국방재학회 논문집)

Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation (한국방재학회)
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Estimation of Economic Impacts of SARS Disaster to Tour Demands of Four Major Countries in Korea

  • Kim, Geun-Young (Department of Urban Planning, Kangnam University) ;
  • Moore II, James E. (University of Southern California) ;
  • Chae, Seon-Hee (Research Institute of Food & Nutritional Sciences, Yonsei University)
  • Published : 2009.12.31
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Abstract

Potential risks of communicable disease outbreaks have significantly increased in the era of global society. However, contingency planning of local governments for communicable diseases is not prepared to the proper level in various governmental sectors of many countries. Human being has been remarkable advances in medical science and public health. However, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) still remains as a very dangerous transmissible disease that has great potential to create catastrophic consequences of casualties. The SARS outbreak between November 2002 and July 2003 resulted in 8,096 known infected cases and 774 deaths with a mortality rate of 9.6% worldwide (WHO, 2004). It is regarded as one of the human health disasters. Since about sixty-six percent of total SARS cases in the world were reported in People's Republic of China, Korean tour industry was significantly affected as a neighboring country. The objective of this research is to investigate major factors of Korea entry data sets, and to analyze economic impacts of Korean tour business interruption due to the period of SARS outbreak with tourist cases of four countries: Japan, U.S.A., China, and Taiwan. Results from this research show the seasonal and long-term trends of entry data sets of four countries, and direct and indirect impacts of SARS to Korean tour industry.

전염병 발생의 잠재적 위험은 지구촌 사회의 시대를 맞이하여 심각하게 증가하였다. 그러나 여러 국가들의 다양한 정부기관에서 전염병에 대한 지방자치단체의 대응계획은 적절한 수준으로 준비되어 있지 않은 실정이다. 인류는 의료 및 공중보건에서 괄목할만한 성장을 이룩해왔다. 그러나 SARS는 아직도 막대한 인명손실을 야기시킬 수 있는 잠재력을 가진 매우 위험한 전염병으로 남아있다. 2002년 11월부터 2003년 7월까지 SARS는 전세계적으로 8,096건의 사례가 발생하였으며 774명의 사망자와 9.6%의 사망률을 결과하였다(WHO, 2004). 이는 대표적인 보건재난 중 하나이다. 중국이 전세계에서 발생한 총 SARS사례의 약 66%를 점유한 결과 이웃국가인 한국의 관광산업은 심각한 영향을 받게 되었다. 본 연구의 목적은 한국의 입국자 자료의 주요요소를 파악하고, SARS발생기간 동안 한국에 입국한 일본과 대만 관광객의 수요변화가 한국의 관광산업에 미친 경제적 영향을 분석하는 것이다. 본 연구의 결과로서 일본, 미국, 중국, 대만의 4개 국가 입국자들의 계절적, 장기적 추세를 파악할 수 있었으며 한국 관광산업에 대한 SARS의 직 간접적 영향을 분석할 수 있었다.

Keywords

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