Nuclear Engineering and Technology

  • 제41권10호
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  • Pages.1243-1254
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  • 2009
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  • 1738-5733(pISSN)
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  • 2234-358X(eISSN)
한국원자력학회 (Korean Nuclear Society)
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PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS - CURRENT PRACTICE FROM A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE

  • 발행 : 2009.12.31
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초록

The paper discusses the methodology and the use of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for nuclear power plants from a European perspective. The increasing importance of risk-informed approaches in the nuclear oversight process observed in many countries has contributed to increasing attention to PSHA methods. Nevertheless significant differences with respect to the methodology of PSHA are observed in Europe. The paper gives an overview on actual projects and discusses the differences in the PSHA-methodology applied in different European countries. These differences are largely related to different approaches used for the treatment of uncertainties and to the use of experts. The development of a probabilistic scenario-based approach is identified as a meaningful alternative to the development of uniform hazard spectra or uniform confidence spectra.

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참고문헌

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피인용 문헌

  1. Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasting models of natural systems vol.111, pp.33, 2014, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1410183111