Application of Cost Estimation to Space Launch Vehicle Development Program

우주발사체 개발사업의 비용 추정 현황 및 사례

  • Yoo, Il-Sang (KSLV Program Office, Korea Aerospace Research Institute) ;
  • Seo, Yun-Kyoung (KSLV Program Office, Korea Aerospace Research Institute) ;
  • Lee, Joon-Ho (KSLV Program Office, Korea Aerospace Research Institute) ;
  • Oh, Bum-Seok (KSLV Program Office, Korea Aerospace Research Institute)
  • 유일상 (한국항공우주연구원 우주발사체사업단) ;
  • 서윤경 (한국항공우주연구원 우주발사체사업단) ;
  • 이준호 (한국항공우주연구원 우주발사체사업단) ;
  • 오범석 (한국항공우주연구원 우주발사체사업단)
  • Published : 2007.09.30

Abstract

A space launch vehicle system represents a typical example of large-scale multi-disciplinary systems, consisting of subsystems such as mechanical structure, electronics, control, telecommunication, propulsion, material engineering etc. A lot of cost is required to develop the launch vehicle system. A precise planning of R&D cost is very essential to make a success of the launch vehicle development program. Especially in the early development phase of a new space launch vehicle system, cost estimation techniques and analogy from past similar development data are very useful methods to estimate a development cost of the launch vehicle system. Now Korea Aerospace Research Institute is in charge of the KSLV-I (Korea Space Launch Vehicle-I) Program that is a part of Korea National Space program. KSLV-I Program is a national undertaking to develop launch capabilities to deliver science satellites of a 100kg-class into a low earth orbit. It is hereafter, going to plan to develop a new korean space launch vehicle. In this paper, first the development costs of well-known launch vehicles in the world are presented to provide a reference to make a development plan of a new launch vehicle. Second this paper introduces the present status of cost estimation applications at NASA. Finally this paper presents the results from application of a TRANSCOST, a parametric cost model, to derive a cost estimate of a new launch vehicle development, as an example.

Keywords

References

  1. 대한민국 정부; 제1차 우주개발진흥기본계획, 2007
  2. 유일상, 조광래; 'KSLV-I 사업을 위한 위험관리 프로세스 개발', 산업경영시스템학회지, 29(1) : 94-100, 2006
  3. A Euroconsult Research Report, 'World Market Survey of Satellites to be Launched by 2016,' 16, 2007
  4. Berner, S.; 'Japan's Space Program: A Fork in the Road,' RAND, CA, 2005
  5. Dietrich E. Koelle; 'Handbook of Cost Engineering for Space Transportation Systems With TRANSCOST 7.1,' 2003
  6. Encyclopedia Astronautica(http://www.astronaitix.com)
  7. Harvey, B.; 'The Japanese and Indian Space Pro-grammes: Two Roads Into Space,' Springer, UK, 2000
  8. Isakowitz, S. J., Hopkins, J. B., and Hopkins, J. P. Jr.; International Reference Guide to Space Launch Systems, 4th ed., AIAA, Virginia, 2004
  9. Isakowitz, S. J., Hopkins, J. P. Jr., and Hopkins, J. B.; International Reference Guide to Space Launch Systems, 3rd ed., AIAA, Washington DC., 1999
  10. Isakowitz, S. J.; International Reference Guide to Space Launch Systems, 1991 ed., AIAA, Washington DC., 1991
  11. Jane's Space Dictionary 1995-1996, 11 th ed., Jane's Information Group, UK, 1995
  12. NASA's Exploration Systems Architecture Study Final Report, November 2005
  13. NASA Cost Estimating Web Site(http://www1.jsc.nasa.gov/bu2/index.htm)
  14. NASA, NASA Cost Estimating Handbook, 2004