Parameter Estimation and Analysis of Deepwater Design Wave in Marginal Seas around Korea

한국 연안 심해 설계파의 매개변수 추정 및 분석

  • Kim, Jeong-Dae (School of Civil, Environmental & Urban Engineering, Wonkwang University) ;
  • Jeong, Shin-Taek (School of Civil, Environmental & Urban Engineering, Wonkwang University) ;
  • Cho, Hong-Yeon (Coastal & Harbour Engineering Research Division, Korea Ocean R&D Institute) ;
  • Oh, Nam-Sun (Ocean Civil Engineering, Mokpo National Maritime University)
  • 김정대 (원광대학교 토목환경도시공학부) ;
  • 정신택 (원광대학교 토목환경도시공학부) ;
  • 조홍연 (한국해양연구원 연안개발연구본부) ;
  • 오남선 (목포해양대학교 해양토목공학과)
  • Published : 2007.08.31

Abstract

Long term wave climate of both extreme and operational wave height is essential for planning and designing coastal structures. Since the availability of the field wave data for the waters around Korean peninsula is limited to provide a reliable wave statistics, the wave climate information has been generated by means of long-term wave hindcasting using available meteorological data. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the FT-I and Weibull distribution. For each of these distributions, the method proposed by Goda(2004) was applied to estimate the parameters. For judgment of best fitting, MIR criterion proposed by Goda and Gobune(1990) was used. FT-I distribution which best fits to the 886 data, while Weibull(k=0.75) 81 data, Weibull(k=1.00) 105 data.

장기간의 극치 및 평상시 파고는 연안 및 항만구조물의 계획 및 설계에서 매우 중요한 환경인자이다. 그러나, 한국 연안 심해파의 관측 자료가 한정되어 있기 때문에, 심해설계파의 정보는 기상정보로부터 사후추정 한 장기간의 파랑자료를 이용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국해양연구원(2003)에서 제시한 1979년부터 1998년까지의 한국연안 67개 지점의 16방향별 최대 유의파 산출자료를 이용하여 극치분포 분석을 수행하였다. 특성분석에 사용된 극치분포함수는 FT-I과 Weibull 분포이며, 각 분포함수의 매개변수는 Goda(2004)의 방법을 이용하여 추정하였다. 또한 Goda and Gobune(1990)가 제안한 MIR 값을 산정하여 가장 적합한 확률분포형을 결정하였다. 분석결과 FT-I 분포가 886개 지점, Weibull(k=0.75) 분포가 81개 지점 및 Weibull(k=1.00) 분포가 105개 지점의 확률분포형으로 적합한 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

References

  1. 김정대(2003). 한국연안 심해파의 극치분포 특성, 석사학위논문, 원광대학교
  2. 일본토목학회(2000). 해안시설설계편람
  3. 정신택, 김정대, 조홍연(2004). 한국 연안 심해 설계파고의 극치분포 특성, 한국해안해양공학회지
  4. 한국해양연구원(2005). 전해역 심해설계파 추정 보고서 II
  5. 해양수산부(2000). 해상파랑관측 및 조사
  6. 해양수산부(2003). 해상파랑관측 및 조사
  7. 해양수산부(2005). 항만 및 어항 설계기준(상권)
  8. Goda, Y., Konogaya, O., Takeshita, N., Hitomi, H., and Nagai, T., (2000). Population distribution of extreme wave heights estimated through regional analysis, Proc. Coastal Engrg., 1078-1091
  9. Goda, Y., (2000). Random seas and design of maritime structures, World Scientific
  10. Goda, Y. (2004). Spread Parameter of Extreme Height Distribution for Performance-Based Design of Maritime Structure. Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 130, No 1, 29-38 https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-950X(2004)130:1(29)
  11. Goda, Y. and Kobune, K(1990). Distribution function fitting for storm wave data, Proc. 22nd Int. Conf. Coastal Engrg. 18-31
  12. Gumbel, E. J., (1958). Statistics of Extremes, Columbia University Press, New York
  13. Hogg, W. D. and Swail, V. R., (2002). Effects of Distribution and Fitting Techniques on Extreme Value Analysis of Modelled Wave Height, 7th International workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting Preprints, Banff, Alberta, Canada
  14. Isaacson, M and MacKenzie, N.G., (1981). Long-term Distributions of Ocean Waves, J. Wtrway., Port, Coast., and Oc. Engrg., ASCE, 93-109
  15. Muir, L.R., and El-Shaarawi, A.H., (1986). On the Calculation of Extreme Wave Heights: A Review, Ocean Eng., 13, 93-118 https://doi.org/10.1016/0029-8018(86)90006-5
  16. Ochi, M.K., (1982). Stochastic analysis and probabilistic prediction of random seas, Adv. Hydrosci., 13, 218-375
  17. Rao, A.R. and Hamed, K.H., (2000). Flood Frequency Analysis, CRC Press LLC
  18. Shimosako, K., and Takahashi, S., (1999). Application of reliability design method for coastal structures-expected sliding distance method of composite breakwaters. Proc., Coastal Structures, Balkema, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 363-371
  19. Vledder, G. van, Goda, Y., Hawkes, P., Mansard, E., Martin, M.H., Mathiesen, M., Peltier, E., and Thompson. E., (1993). Case studies of extreme wave analysis: a comparative analysis, Proc. 2nd Int. Symp. Ocean Wave Measurement and Analysis, ASCE, 978-992