Journal of Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회논문집)

Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회)
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Analysis of Impacts of Land Cover Change on Runoff Using HSPF Model

HSPF 모형을 이용한 토지피복변화에 따른 유출 변화 분석

  • 박민지 (건국대학교 대학원 지역건설환경공학과) ;
  • 권형중 (건국대학교 대학원 지역건설환경공학과) ;
  • 김성준 (건국대학교 생명환경과학대학 사회환경시스템공학전공)
  • Published : 2005.06.01
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to estimate the impacts of land cover change on the runoff behavior using Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) model and Landsat images. Land cover maps were prepared using three every ten years from 1980 to 2000 of the upper watershed ($258\;km^2$) of Gyeongan stream. Hydrologic parameters of HSPF were calibrated using observed data (1999 - 2000) and validated using observed data (2001, 2003) at Gyeongan gauge station. The simulation results showed that runoff volume and peak rate increased as $15.0\;km^2$ forest areas decreased and $19.3\;km^2$ urban areas increased for 20 years land use changes. The runoff volume showed a higher rate of increase in wet year (2003, 1709.4 mm) than in dry year (2001, 871.2 mm). The peak runoff increased $13.3\;\%$ in normal year (2000, 1257.3 mm) because the year has the highest rain intensity (241.3 mm/hr) among the test years. The runoff volume of a dry season and a wet season (May - September) in normal year 2000 increased $4.4\;\%$ and decreased $8.1\;\%$, respectively.

본 연구의 목적은 HSPF 모형과 Landsat 영상을 이용하여 토지피복 변화에 따른 유출의 변화를 분석하는 것이다. 토지피복도는 경안수위관측소 상류유역($258km^2$)에 대하여 10년 단위로 3개의 토지피복도(1980, 1990, 2000)를 준비하였다. HSPF의 수문학적 인자들의 보정에는 1999년부터 2000년의 경안수위관측소의 자료를 사용하였고, 검증에는 2001년과 2003년의 자료를 사용하였다. 토지피복도를 입력자료로 한 유출변화의 모의 결과, 20년 동안의 산림 감소 ($15.0\;km^2$)와 도심지 증가($19.3\;km^2$)에 따라 총유출량과 첨두유량이 증가하였다. 총유출량은 풍수년(2003, 1709.4mm)과 갈수년(2001, 871.2mm)의 강수조건에서 각각 $0.6\%,\;1.0\%$의 증가율을 보였다. 첨두유량은 2000년의 최대강우강도 241.3mm/hr 조건에서 $13.3\%$의 증가를 보였고, 성수기와 비성수기로 구분한 총유출량은 평수년(2000, 1257.3mm)인 2000년 강수조건에서 각각 $4.4\%$ 증가와 $8.1\%$ 감소로 가장 큰 변화를 보였다.

Keywords

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