Journal of Environmental Science International (한국환경과학회지)

The Korean Environmental Sciences Society (한국환경과학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

A study on Estimation of NO2 concentration by Statistical model

통계모형을 이용한 NO2 농도 예측에 관한 연구

  • Jang Nan-Sim (Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National University)
  • 장난심 (부산대학교 대기과학과)
  • Published : 2005.11.01
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

[ $NO_2$ ] concentration characteristics of Busan metropolitan city was analysed by statistical method using hourly $NO_2$ concentration data$(1998\~2000)$ collected from air quality monitoring sites of the metropolitan city. 4 representative regions were selected among air quality monitoring sites of Ministry of environment. Concentration data of $NO_2$, 5 air pollutants, and data collected at AWS was used. Both Stepwise Multiple Regression model and ARIMA model for prediction of $NO_2$ concentrations were adopted, and then their results were compared with observed concentration. While ARIMA model was useful for the prediction of daily variation of the concentration, it was not satisfactory for the prediction of both rapid variation and seasonal variation of the concentration. Multiple Regression model was better estimated than ARIMA model for prediction of $NO_2$ concentration.

Keywords

References

  1. Bower, J. S., G. F. J. Broughton, M. T. Dando, A. J. Lees, K. J. Stevenson, J. E. Lampert, B. P. Sweeney, V. J. Parker, G. S. Driver, C. J. Waddon and A. J. Wood, 1991, Urban $NO_{2}$ concentrations in the U.K. in 1987, Atmos. Environ., 25B, 267-283
  2. Hargreaves, P. R., A. Leidi, H. J. Grubb, M. T. Howe and M. A. Mugglestone, 1998, Local and seasonal variations in atmospheric nitrogen dioxide levels at Rothamsted, UK, and relationships with meteorological conditions, Atmos. Environ., 34, 843-853 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00360-X
  3. Lebret, E., D. Briggs, H. Reeuwijk, P. Fischer, K. Smallbone, H. Harssema, B. Kriz, P. Gorynski and P. Elliott, 2000, Small area variations in ambient $NO_{2}$ concentrations in four European areas, Atmos. Environ., 34, 177-185 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00292-7
  4. Owen, B., H. A. Edmunds, D. J. Carruthers and R. J. Singles, 2000, Prediction of total oxides of nitrogen and nitrogen dioxide concentrations in a large urban area using a new generation urban scale dispersion model with integral chemistry model, Atmos. Environ., 34, 397-406 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00332-5
  5. Shi, J. P. and R. M. Harrison, 1997, Rapid NO2 formation in diluted petrol-fuelled engine exhaust - a source of NO2 in winter smog episodes, Atmos. Environ., 31(23), 3857-3866 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(97)00256-2
  6. Giugliano, M., S. Cernuschi and F. Marzolo, 1998, The duration of High NO2 and CO Concentration in an Urban Atmosphere, Atmos. Environ., 32(17), 2923-2929 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(98)00019-3
  7. Inoue, T., M. Hoshi and M. Taguri, 1986, Prediction of nitrogen oxide Regression concentration by a regression model, Atmos. Environ., 20(12), 2325-2337 https://doi.org/10.1016/0004-6981(86)90063-6
  8. Lebret, E., D. Briggs, H. Reeuwijk, P. Fischer, K. Smallbone, H. Harssema, B. Kriz, P. Gorynski and P. Elliott, 2000, Small area variations in ambient NO2 concentrations in four European areas, Atmos. Environ., 34, 177-185 https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00292-7
  9. 권민정, 1999, 도심지 도로주변에서의 $NO_{2}$ 농도의 분포특성 및 예측 연구, 부산대학교 석사학위논문
  10. 이용희, 2000, 신경망 모델을 이용한 부산시에서의 이산화질소 농도 예측, 부산대학교 석사학위논문
  11. 장난심, 2000, 연안 도시 지역의 이산화질소 농도 예측에 관한 연구, 부산대학교 박사학위논문