Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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Modeling Subway Accessibility in Seoul Public Transport System Reform

수도권 대중교통체계 개편 전.후 지하철 이용자의 접근성 변화 모형구축

  • Published : 2005.12.31
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Abstract

Various urban transport policies have an effect on urban transit riderships and accessibility. This study reports variations of metropolitan subway travel patterns affected by an enormous change in bus routes and transfer discount fare policy between subway and bus mode conducted by Seoul city in July 1st of 2004. In an effort to see the difference between the before and the after policies, two data sets are prepared. Firstly, on a daily bassis. an origin-destination trip table of May of 2004 is used. Secondly, on a daily bassis, an origin-destination trip table of August-September of 2004 is used as a counter measure. Even if seasonal variation was not considered, Seoul metropolitan area have experienced increasing riderships and accessibility. Finally, the effects of accessibility in spatial interaction model by rall service changes such as random shocks were scrutinized and interpreted in detail.

대중교통의 서비스 개선은 접근성이 개선되어 대중교통 이용자의 수요를 늘리는 중요한 역할로 작용한다. 본 연구는 서울시가 최근 2004년 7월 대대적으로 실시한 대중교통체계 개편 후 지하철이용자의 접근성 변화를 설명하기 위한 것이다. 첫번째 연구목적은 공간상호작용 개념을 포함하는 한센형 접근성 지표를 지하철-버스간 환승할인 전후의 자료로부터 추정하고 비교 설명한다. 두번째 연구목적은 개편 전 후의 접근성 지표가 단기의 교통과 토지이용간의 관계를 설명하는 통행배분모형에 어떠한 역할을 하는지를 해석하는 것이다. 분석에 사용한 비접촉식 카드승차권과 접촉식 승차권 자료는 2004년 5월의 하루 평균 지하철 기종점자료와 서비스 변화가 발생한 2004년 8-9월의 하루 평균 지하철 기종점자료이다. 결론적으로 비접촉식 카드 이용자의 접근성이 향상되어 대중교통개편의 수혜자가 된 것으로 나타났으며, 그 효과는 서울지역에 넓게 분포된 것으로 나타났다. 통행배분모형연구에서 접근성 지표의 역할은 중요한 것으로 나타났으며, 기존 모형에서 접근성 지표의 변수가 생략되면, 추정된 모형의 파라메터 들이 편기(bias)된다는 것을 발견하였다. 그리고, 접근성 지표의 생략으로 인한 통행배정모형의 예측력 저하 원인을 규명하는 노력이 시도되었다.

Keywords

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