Employment Instability and Security Funds in U.S. Households

  • Published : 2003.12.01

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of employment related factors on household savings for precautionary purposes when controlling for financial security and to compare the results between the two different economic periods. A conceptual framework was developed based on the precautionary saving theory, the family stress theory, and previous empirical studies. As a self-insurance, a measure of security funds were developed and used as the dependent variable. Using data on working households in the 1992 and the 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), a MLE estimation was conducted on the pooled data. The 1992 and 1998 data were used to reflect periods of economic recession and expansion, respectively. The results suggested that factors representing resources played the most significant role in determining the amount of security funds. Some of the employment related factors, preferences, financial security, and race were also significantly affected the amount of security funds. The results suggested that stable employment conditions were important for households to accumulate security funds. Households with more human resources and financial resources had a larger amount of security funds than those that had less human and financial resources. From the findings, implications for research, policies, and financial educators had been suggested.

Keywords

References

  1. Blau, F. D., Ferber, M. A., & Winkler, A. E. (1998). The economics of women, men, and work. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, Inc
  2. Browning, M., & Lusardi, A. (1996). Household saving: Micro theories and micro facts. Journal of Economic Literature, 34(4), 1797-1855
  3. Caballero, R. J. (1991). Eamings uncertainty and aggregate wealth accumulation. The American Economic Review, 81(4), 859-871
  4. Carroll, C. D. (1991). Buffer stock saving and the permanent income hypothesis. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, mimeo
  5. Carroll, C. D.,Dynan, K. E.,& Krane, S. D. (1999). Unemployment risk and precautionary wealth: Evidence from households' balance sheets. Working paper, Retrieved January 25,2002, from http://www.econ.jhu.edu/papers/Carroll/unempl.pdf
  6. Carroll, C. D., & Samwick, A. A. (1998). How important is precautionary saving? Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 410-419
  7. Chang, R. Y., Hanna, S., & Fan, J X. (1997). Emergency fund levels: Is household behavior rational? Financial Counseling and Planning, 8(1),47-55
  8. Chen,C, & DeVaney, S. A. (2001). The effect of life cycle stages and saving motives on the probability of emergency fund adequacy. In J. M. Hogarth (Ed.), Proceedings of the Association for Financial Counseling and Planning Education, 176-185
  9. Daly, M. C., & Duncan, G. J. (1997). Earnings mobility and instability, 1969-1995. Working paper, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Retrieved February 13, 2002, from http://www.frbsf.orgeconrsrch/workingp/wp97-12.pdf
  10. Deaton, A. (1991). Saving and liquidity constraints. Econometrica, LIX, 1221-48
  11. Deaton, A. (1992). Understanding consumption. New York: Oxford University Press, Inc
  12. Ding, L, & DeVaney, S. A. (2000). Predictors of emergency funds adequacy. In J. E. Morris & C. R. Hayhoe (Eds.), Proceedings of Association for Financial Counseling and Planning Education, 56-63
  13. Dominitz, J, & Manski, C. F. (1996). Perceptions of economic insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations. NBER Working Paper 5690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
  14. Engen, E. M.,& Gruber, J. (1998). Unemployment insurance and precautionary saving. NBER Working paper5252, Retrieved January 26, 2002, from http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/grubej/files/uisave2.pdf
  15. Farber, H. S. (1996). The changing face of job loss in the United States, 1981-1993. Working Paper No. 360, NJ: Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University
  16. Forcardi, S.,& Jonas, C. (1998). Risk Management: Framework, methods, and practice. NJ: Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University
  17. Garman, T. E., & Forgue, R. E. (1997). Personal finance. New York: Houghton Mifflin Company
  18. Guiso, L., Jappelli, T., & Terlizzese, D. (1992). Earnings uncertainty and precautionary saving. Journal of Monetary Economics, 30 (November), 307-337
  19. Haley, J. D., & Rejda, G. E. (2001). Measuring the causes of economic insecurity: Construction of a composite index. Journal of Financial Service Professionals, May, 103-115
  20. Hatcher, C. B. (2000). Should households establish emergency funds? Financial Counseling and Planning, 11(2), 77-83
  21. Huston, S. J., & Chang, R.Y. (1997). Adequate emergency fund holdings and household type. Financial Counseling and Planning, 8(1), 37-46
  22. Johnson, D. P., & Widdows, R. (1985). Emergency fund levels of households. In K. P. Schnittgrund (Ed.), Proceedings of American Council on Consumer Interests, 235-241
  23. Kazarosian, M. (1997). Precautionary savings-A panelstudy. The Review of Economics and Statistis, 79, 241-247 https://doi.org/10.1162/003465397556593
  24. Kimball, M. S. (1990). Precautionary saving in the small and in the large. Econometrica, 58(1), 53-73 https://doi.org/10.2307/2938334
  25. Leland, H. (1968). Saving and uncertainty: The precautionary demand for saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, LXXX(3), 465-473
  26. Lohr, S. (1996, December 29). Though upbeat on the economy, people still fear for their jobs. The New York Times, Retrieved March 26, 2002, from http://www.nytimes.com/specials/downsize/ 122 gecon-i 0 bsuncertain.html
  27. Lusardi, A. (1997). Precautionary saving and subjective earnings variance. Economic Letters, 57, 319-326 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00239-5
  28. Lusardi, A. (2000). Precautionary saving and the accumulation of wealth. Retrieved November 10, 2001, from http://www.harrisschool.uchicago.edu/pdflwp_00_12.pdf
  29. Marcotte, D. E. (1994). Evidence of a decline in the stability of employment in the U.S.:1976-1988. DeKalb, IL: Center for Governmental Studies, Northern Illinois University
  30. Neter, J.,Wasserman, W., & Kutner, M. H. (1985). Applied linear statistical models. Homewood, IL: Irwin, Inc
  31. Pennar, K., Garland, S. R, & Roberts, E. (1996, November 3). Economic anxiety. Retrieved March 26, 2002, from http://www.businessweek.com/1996/11/b34661.htm
  32. Popper, M. (2001, December 3). A 'jobless recovery' just ahead? Business Week, 44
  33. Shefrin, H., & Thaler, R. (1988). The behavioral life-cycle hypothesis. Economic Inquiry, 26, 609-643
  34. Sloan, A. (1998, December 14). A real lump of coal: Cost-cutting companies hand out pink slips. Newsweek, 50
  35. Skinner, J. (1988). Risky income, life-cycle consumption and precautionary savings. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 237-255 https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90021-9
  36. Vaughan, E. J. (1997). Risk management. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc
  37. Walsh, D. (1999). Jobs cut, as economic insecurity of US workers rises. World socialist web site. Retrieved February 18, 2002, from http://www.wsws.orgfarticles/1999/feb1999/jobs-f20.shtml
  38. Welch, .J. R (2001). Finding gold in pink slips. Financial Planning, April, 89-91
  39. Wooldridge, J. M.(2000). Introductory Econometrics: A modern approach. South-Western College Publishing
  40. Xiao,J. J.,& Anderson, J. G. (1997). Hierarchical financial needs reflected by household financial asset shares. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 18(4), 333-355 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024991304216
  41. Zeldes, S. P. (1989). Optimal consumption with stochastic income: Deviations from certainty equivalence. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104(2), 275-298 https://doi.org/10.2307/2937848
  42. SAS OnlineDoc. (1999).The AUTOREG procedure. Retrieved January 5, 2003, from http://v8doc.sas.com/sashtml/