Evaluation and Prediction of Failure Factors by Quantification Theory(II) on Banking Slopes in Forest Road

수량화(數量化)II류(類)에 의한 임도(林道) 성토사면(盛土斜面)의 붕괴요인(崩壞要人) 평가 (評價) 및 예측(豫測)

On the basis of data obtained from five forest roads collapsed due to a heavy rainfall of 1995 in Chunchon, Kangwon-do, this study was carried out to evaluate and predict the fill slope failure of forest roads with four factors of forest road structure and those of location condition by using Quantification theory(II). The results were summarized as follows ; In the structure factors of forest road, the fill slope failure was mainly occurred in longitudinal gradients less than $2^{\circ}$ or more than $4^{\circ}$, distance of surface-flow longer than 80m, fill slope length greater than 6m, and fill slope gradients steeper than $35^{\circ}$. In the factors of location condition, the failure was mainly occurred in ridge portion of road position, weathered rock and soft rock of constituent material, slope gradients in the range from $35^{\circ}$ to $45^{\circ}$, and concave and convex of longitudinal slope forms. The priority order for factors influencing on fill slope failure was ranked by fill slope length, constituent material, road position, and so on. And the rate of correct discrimination by analysis of fill slope failure was estimated at the high prediction of 86.5%.

본(本) 연구(硏究)는 집중호우로 인하여 임도재해가 발생된 강원도(江原道) 춘천지역(春川地域)의 5개 임도(林道)를 대상으로 임도구조요인 4항목과 입지요인 4항목을 이용하여 수량화(數量化)II류(類)에 의한 임도성토사면(林道盛土斜面)의 붕괴요인(崩壞要因) 평가(評價) 및 예측(豫測)을 실시하였다. 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 임도구조요인(林道構造要因)인 종단(縱斷)물매는 $2^{\circ}$ 이하 및 $4^{\circ}$ 이상, 유하거리(流下距離)는 80m 이상, 성토사면(盛土斜面)길이는 6m 이상, 성토사면경사(盛土斜面傾斜)는 $35^{\circ}$ 이상에서 성토사면의 붕괴위험도가 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 임도입지요인(林道立地要因)인 임도노선위치(林道路線位置)는 능선부, 사면구성물질(斜面構成物質)은 풍화암과 연암, 산지경사(山地傾斜)는 $35{\sim}45^{\circ}$, 사면종단면형(斜面縱斷面形)은 철(凸)형과 요(凹)형 사면에서 붕괴위험도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 사면붕괴에 영향을 미치는 인자는 성토사면길이, 사면구성물질, 임도노선위치 등의 순으로 나타났으며, 판별적중율(判別的中率)은 86.5%로서 높은 적중률을 나타냈다.