회귀모형에 의한 상수도 1일 급수량 예측에 관한 연구

A Study on the Prediction of Daily Urban Water Demand with Multiple Regression Model

  • 발행 : 1998.02.01

초록

The purpose of this paper is to establish a method estimating the daily urban water demand using statistical analysis that is used for developing the efficient management and operation of the water supply facilities, and accurary of the model is verified by error rate and F-value. The data used in this study were the daily urban water use, the weather conditions such as temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, etc, and the day of The week. The case study was taken placed for the city of Namwon in Korea. The raw data used in this study were rearranged either by month or by season for analysis purpose, and the statistical analysis was applied to the data to obtain the regression model As a result of this study, the linear regression model was developed to estimate the daily urban water use with weather condition. The regression constant and coefficients of the model were determined for each month of a year. The accuracy of the model was within 3% of average error and within 11% of maximum error. The resulting model was found to he useful to the practical operation and management of the water supply facilities.

키워드

참고문헌

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