한국농공학회지 (Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers)

한국농공학회 (The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers)
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이상기후에 따른 농작물의 수확량 및 재해발생 확률의 추정

Simulating Crop Yield and Probable Damage From Abnormal Weather Conditions

  • 발행 : 1997.06.01
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⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

Potential impacts for unfavourable weather conditions and the assessment of the magnitudes of their adverse effects on crop yields were studied. EPIC model was investigated for its capability on crop yield predictions for rice and soybean. Weather generationmodel was used to generate long-term climatic data. The model was verified with ohserved climate data of Suwon city. Fifty years weather data including abnormal conditions were generated and used for crop yield simulation by EPIC model. Crop yield probability function was derived from simulated crop yield data, which followed normal distribution. Probable crop yield reductions due to abnormal weather conditions were also analyzed.

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참고문헌

  1. 서울대학교 대학원 석사학위 논문 우리나라 일별 기상인자의 추계학적 모의발생에 관한 연구 강문성
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