Stochastic Analysis to Characterize A CARMONETTE Data

Events that occur within a high 'resolution' combat model often need to be characterized and structured for representation in other models or for detailed analysis purposes. This paper attempts to characterize one of these events, helicopter deaths. The data analyzed for this paper were generated by a high resolution production simulation system, CARMONETTE. The thesis objective is to develop a model to characterize the event of interest, and check the fit of the developed model using a second set of data. The exponential model developed provides not only excellent characterization of Blue helicopter attrition but also sufficient confidence in our results for the purpose of aggregated combat simulation.