Analysis of Surplus and Dficit-using Runs for Monthly Streamflow

월유출량에 대한 Run-Length의 해석

In the analysis, monthly streamflow records atthe gauging station in Nakdong, Han and Geum river were used. Also, the fitness of monthly streamflow to Gamma and Long-normal distribution was tested by Kolomogorv-Smirnov test. The results obtained in this study can be summarized as follws (1) The fitness of monthly streamflow to two-parameter Gamma distribution was tested by Kolomorov-Smirnov test, which fits well to this Gamma distribution (2) The Run-length and Run-sum were simulated by the Gamma model. In this result, run-length and Run-sum of monthly streamflow were fit for Gamma model (3) The mean decreases (increases) the expected surplus (deficit) Run-Sum of the monthly streamflow. The higher the truncation level of negative Run-length and Run-sum the larger is the effect of mean.

본 연구에서는 낙동강, 한강 및 금강의 중요관측지점의 월평균 유출량을 분석에 사용하였으며, 먼저 일정유량(Truncation level) 별로 Run-length와 Run-sum에 대한 2-변수 Gamma 분포 및 대수정규분포의 적합성 여부를 검토하였던 바 Gamma 모델이 적합한 것으로 판명된 자료와 실측치와 비교하였다. 그리고 Run-length 및 Run-sum에 대한 일정유량별로 평균치의 변화에 대한 성질을 구명하였다.