물과 미래 (Water for future)
- 제8권1호
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- Pages.80-88
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- 1975
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- 1738-9488(pISSN)
극소치유량에 대한 적정분포형의 설정과 확률갈수량의 산정
Probability Funetion of Best Fit to Distribution of Extremal Minimum Flow and Estimation of Probable Drought Flow
초록
In this paper the authors established the best fit distribution function by applying the concept of probabiaity to the annual minimum flow of nine areas along the Nakdong river basin which is one of the largest Korean rivers and calculated the probable minimum flow suitable to those distribution function. Lastly, the authors tried to establish the best method to estimate the probable minimun flow by comparing some frequency analysis methods. The results obtained are as follows (1) It was considered that the extremal distribution type III was the most suitable one in the distributional types as a result of the comparision with Exponential distribution, Log-Normal distribution, Extremal distribution type-III and so on. (2) It was found that the formula of extremal distribution type-II for the estimation of probable minimum flow gave the best result in deciding the probable minimum flow of the Nakdong river basin. Therfore, it is recommended that the probable minimum flow should be estimated by using the extremal distribution type-III method. (3) It could be understood that in the probable minimum flow the average non-excessive probability appeared to be
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