KTX 단기수요 예측을 위한 통행행태 분석

Travel Behavior Analysis for Short-term Railroad Passenger Demand Forecasting in KTX

  • 김한수 (한국철도공사, 경영연구처) ;
  • 윤동희 (한국철도공사, 경영연구처)
  • 발행 : 2011.05.26

초록

The rail passenger demand for the railroad operations required a short-term demand rather than a long-term demand. The rail passenger demand can be classified according to the purpose. First, the rail passenger demand will be use to the restructure of line planning on the current operating line. Second, the rail passenger demand will be use to the line planning on the new line and purchasing the train vehicles. The objective of study is to analyze the travel behavior of rail passenger for modeling of short-term demand forecasting. The scope of research is the passenger of KTX. The travel behavior was analyzed the daily trips, origin/destination trips for KTX passenger using the ANOVA and the clustering analysis. The results of analysis provide the directions of the short-term demand forecasting model.

키워드