HadCM3를 이용한 서울 및 울산지역의 미래 냉.난방도일 예측

The expectation of future cooling and heating degree day of the Seoul and Ulsan using HadCM3

The concern in energy reduction in the field of architecture which takes up a big weight in domestic energy consumption is gradually increasing. For this reason, a lot of research work on this matter is being carried out. Particularly, it is generally required that currently used system in a structure for energy reduction should be maximized in its efficiency. In addition, research on several energy reduction typed systems is underway. Such a research work should not only include the one in time of the present but also keep up with the trend for future-oriented research. This research paper forecasted and analyzed the trend for global warming and demand of a structure for energy in the future by applying climate scenarios to cooling degree-day and heating degree-day. Also, this research found out the decrease in heating degree-days and increase in cooling degree-days until this moment due to the progress of global warming. In addition, as for heating degree-days in the future forecasted on the basis of HadCM3, it is estimated that the range of decrease could be ever bigger starting 2040 in case of Seoul and also starting 2010 in case of Ulsan ever after respectively. In case of cooling degree-days, it is estimated that its increase range could be bigger abruptly starting 2050, and after 2080, its increase range would be much bigger.