인명.재해 피해 저감을 위한 폭염특보기준 검토 및 보완에 관한 연구

Study on the examination and revision about the standard level of the Extreme heat watch warning system for reduction of personal or property injury

  • 박종길 (인제대학교 대기환경정보공학과/대기환경정보연구센터) ;
  • 정우식 (인제대학교 환경공학부/대기환경정보공학과/대기환경정보연구센터) ;
  • 송정희 (인제대학교 대기환경정보공학과/대기환경정보연구센터) ;
  • 김은별 (인제대학교 대기환경정보공학과/대기환경정보연구센터)
  • 발행 : 2008.02.28

초록

The extreme heat watch warning system(EHWWS) that Korea Meterological Administration carried out a preliminary from July 1, 2007, considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index simultaneously. It was requested revision of the standard level of EHWWS to solve the difficulty of forecasting occurred when we were considering two parameters simultaneously and we did not considering heat index according to areas. For this, we established three type standard, such as type 1 that considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index, Under the extreme heat day that daily minimum temperature was more than $25^{\circ}C$, type 2 that considered daily maximum temperature and type 3 that considered only daily maximum heat index and then analyzed whether these 3 types satisfies the excess mortality of the extreme heat warning or not. As a results, type 1 and 2 were more explain away excess mortality each warning step than type 3. type 2 could also apply case of not to consider heat index according to areas and had a merit for extreme heat forecasting easily because the standard was simple. Therefore we think type 2 is more suitable and reasonable standard for Korea extreme heat watch warning system(KEHWWS) than type 1. In addition, we need to develop model that exactly predicts the excess mortality will be take place during the extreme heat warning and construct KEHWWS.

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