한국인구학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference)
- 한국인구학회 2006년도 후기학술대회 및 정기총회
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- Pages.131-152
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- 2006
양성평등 관념과 노동시장 불안정성이 출산력에 미치는 영향;지역별 차별출산력의 분석
On Regional Fertility Differentials;Understanding the Causal Mechanisms of Low Fertility in Korea
- 유삼현 (한양대학교 인구및고령사회연구소)
- Yoo, Sam-Hyun (Institute of Population and Aging Research, Hanyang University)
- 발행 : 2006.12.20
초록
이 논문은 제2차 출산력변천 이론을 바탕으로 지역의 차별출산력을 통해 한국의 저출산 인과구조를 확인하기 위한 것이다. 이를 위해 양성평등 관념, 노동시장 불안정성, 가족형성을 결정요인으로 저출산 인과구조의 분석모형을 구성하였다. 자료는 2005년 센서스와 동태통계, 2004년 사업체노동실태현황을 활용하였다. 이 논문은 GIS를 이용하여 주요 변수들의 구
This study examines the causal mechanisms of low fertility and regional differentials in Korea. Utilizing the 2005 census and the 2005 vital statistics, and labor statistics at the regional level, major variables were calculated for administrative units of 234 'Gu's, 'Si's and 'Gun's. Gender equity orientation, labor market insecurity and family formation were hypothesized as key factors of recent decline in Korean fertility. This study first presents four maps of gender equity orientation, labor market insecurity, family formation and fertility. Then ANOVA and path analysis were carried out in an effort to generalize the causal mechanisms. Results of analysis reveal that gender equity orientation has played a central role in the second fertility transition in Korea. In metropolitan regions, however, labor market insecurity is found to have a significant influence on the level of family formation and fertility. Family formation also turns out to be an important intermediate variable of fertility.
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