철도기관사의 경험효과에 관한 연구

A Study on the Experience Effect of Engine Drivers

Belief revision involves integrating new information with the current belief. It is a ubiquitous human activity. A critical feature of belief revision lies in its sequential nature. Railroad system can be described as organic. Engine drivers take a great role in this system. Recently, Hogarth and Einhorn(1992) have Posited a belief-adjustment model for updating beliefs. Based on a sequential anchoring and adjustment strategy, the model is important fro decision makers. The sequential nature of information processing is affected by some task variables. This will be mainly explained in this paper. The purpose of this study is to examine the engine drivers' belief revision process and factors which influence on the belief revision process. The factors are the order and the experience. Thereby, this will contribute to the study of engine drivers' behavior. The result of this study is summarized as follows. The order effect due to the order of presentation of the evidence exist. The difference of belief revision is due to The experience level.