A modified output error method and its application on an air accident

A modified output error method developed by the authors are presented, and an example of its application on an air accident is shown. In order to obtain the aerodynamic coefficients of an aircraft, the maximum likelihood method and the output error method are often employee However, in the case of an air accident, there is only one flight data available. The newly devised modified output error method by authors seems to have shown fine performance. By employing this method and processing the flight data, unstational aerodynamic coefficients are obtained. The contradiction between the recorded flight data and the circumstantial evidence was reasonably explained.