IRP를 위한 블확실성 지표산정과 다속성 의사결정

Uncertainty Indices Determination and MCDM for IRP

Main theme of this paper is to evaluate the degree of risk due to the uncertainly of the future, especially for the long-term integrated resource planning (IRP) in electric utility. The measures of uncertainty for dealing with planning risk in the IRP context include robustness and flexibility of each candidate resource plan. The uncertainty indices are treated as decision criteria, or attributes, same as economic efficiency or reliability criteria in the multi-attribute decision-making (MCDM) procedure of IRP.