한국과 미국간 항공기 탑승객 수 예측을 위한 뉴럴네트웍의 응용

  • 발행 : 1995.09.01

초록

In recent years, neural networks have been developed as an alternative to traditional statistical techniques. In this study, a neural network model was compared to traditional forecasting models in terms of their capabilities to forecast passenger traffic for flights between U.S. and Korea. The results show that the forecasting ability of the neural networks was superior to the traditional models. In terms of accuracy, the performance of the neural networks was quite encouraging. Using mean absolute deviation, the neural network performed best. The new technique is easy to learn and apply with commercial neural network software. Therefore, airline decision makers should benefit from using neural networks in forecasting passenger loads.

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