A STUDY ON THE GENERATION SIMULATION USING ENERGY INVARIANCE PROPERTY BY MIXTURE OF CUMULANTS APPROXIMATION METHOD WITH CONSIDERING THE LOAD FORECASTING UNCERTAINTY

에너지불변특성을 이용한 Mixture of Cumulants Approximation 방법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 - 수요예측의 오차를 고려한 경우 -

This paper describes an effective algorithm for evaluating the reliability indices and calculating the production cost for generation system with thermal, hydro and pumped storage plants. Using the Energy Invariance property, this algorithm doesn't need deconvolution process which gives large burden in computing time. In order to consider an adaptable load model, we consider the system load with forecasting uncertainty. The proposed algorithm is applied to the KEPCO system and its result shows high accuracy and less computing time.