도시쇠퇴 지표를 적용한 지역별 고령운전자 교통사고 영향 분석

Regional Traffic Accident Model of Elderly Drivers based on Urban Decline Index

  • Park, Na Young (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Park, Byung Ho (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
  • 투고 : 2017.08.01
  • 심사 : 2017.08.25
  • 발행 : 2017.12.31


This study deals with the relation between traffic accident and urban decline. The purpose of this study is to develop the regional accident models of elderly drivers. In order to develop the count data models, 2009-2015 traffic accident data from TAAS(traffic accident analysis system) and urban decline data from urban regeneration information system are collected. The main results are as follows. First, the null hypothesis that there is no difference in the accident number between elderly and non-elderly drivers is rejected. Second, 8 accident models which are all statistically significant have been developed. Finally, common variables between elderly and non-elderly are ratio of elderly people, elderly person living alone/1,000 persons and wholesale/retail employments/1,000 persons. This study could be expected to give many implications to making regional accident reduction policy.


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