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Estimating Effects of Climate Change on Ski Industry - The Case of Ski Resorts in South Korea -

스키산업에 기후변화가 미치는 영향 분석 - 한국의 스키장을 사례로 -

  • Kim, Song-Yi (Tourism Industry Research Division, Korea Culture & Tourism Institute) ;
  • Park, Chan (Urban research division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements) ;
  • Park, Jin-Han (Interdisciplinary Program in Landscape Architecture, Seoul National University) ;
  • Lee, Dong-Kun (Department of Landscape Architecture and Rural Systems Engineering, Seoul National University)
  • 김송이 (한국문화관광연구원 관광산업연구실) ;
  • 박찬 (국토연구원 도시연구본부) ;
  • 박진한 (서울대학교 협동과정 조경학) ;
  • 이동근 (서울대학교 조경지역시스템공학부)
  • Received : 2015.07.30
  • Accepted : 2015.09.30
  • Published : 2015.10.31

Abstract

Ski industry is sensitive to climate change. Many studies were carried out to learn the impact on climate change to large scale ski resorts around the world and the results are difficult to be applied to small scale ski resorts in general. So, this study targeted small ski resorts composing the ski industry of Korea and forecasted the impact of climate change. As a result, based on the mitigation efforts to minimize climate changes of the future (RCP 4.5), ski industry could be maintained at the same level of today. However, if climate change continues at the current trend (RCP 8.5), ski resorts will face loss of business days. If 100 days are considered as the minimum days to maintain the ski business, among 17 ski resorts in Korea, 3 ski resorts will be driven out of business by 2030s, 12 more ski resorts by 2060s and remaining 2 ski resort by 2090s will end the business. It means that smaller ski resorts has higher chance of facing difficulties in running business just as large scale ski resorts. Therefore, to sustain the ski business, technical and managerial efforts to adapt to the changing environment is needed.

Keywords

Climate Change;Tourism Vulnerability;Ski Industry;Adaptation;South Korea;RCP Scenario

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