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The Influence of Shifting Planting Date on Cereal Grains Production under the Projected Climate Change

파종일 변경이 기후변화 조건에서 곡물생산량에 미치는 영향

  • Received : 2013.03.04
  • Accepted : 2013.03.23
  • Published : 2013.03.30

Abstract

Yield reduction in major cereal grains seems unavoidable with the existing cropping systems under the projected climate change in Korea. Crop models were used to predict the effects of planting date shift on grain yields of rice, winter barley and soybeans at 64 agroclimatic zones in Korea. The shift of planting date by 7, 14, and 21 days before and after the recommended planting dates were incorporated in DSSAT experiment files to simulate growth, development and grain yields of major cereal crops. These included 3 rice cultivars representing early-, medium- and late-maturity groups, 1 winter barley and 1 soybean cultivars. Partial mitigation in yield reduction was found with earlier planting in the early maturing rice cultivar and with delayed planting in the late maturing rice cultivar under the RCP8.5 projected climate change in Korea. Additional yield increase in winter barley was expected by earlier planting treatments. Soybean showed a positive effect on grain yield with earlier planting. However, the rate was much lower than the case with winter barley and delayed planting caused yield reduction.

Keywords

RCP 8.5;Planting date;DSSAT;Rice;Barley;Soybean;Climate change

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Cited by

  1. Yearly Variation in Growth and Yield of Winter Hulless Barley at Iksan vol.61, pp.3, 2016, https://doi.org/10.7740/kjcs.2016.61.3.171
  2. Planning for Adapting to the Rural Region Impacts of Climate Change - Case study in Yesan - vol.19, pp.4, 2013, https://doi.org/10.7851/ksrp.2013.19.4.115
  3. Requirement Analysis of a System to Predict Crop Yield under Climate Change vol.17, pp.1, 2015, https://doi.org/10.5532/KJAFM.2015.17.1.1
  4. Grain Yield Response of CERES-Barley Adjusted for Domestic Cultivars to the Simultaneous Changes in Temperature, Precipitation, and CO2Concentration vol.15, pp.4, 2013, https://doi.org/10.5532/KJAFM.2013.15.4.312
  5. Analysis of components and applications of major crop models for nutrient management in agricultural land 2016, https://doi.org/10.7744/kjoas.20160055

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 농촌진흥청