Quantitative Analysis of GIS-based Landslide Prediction Models Using Prediction Rate Curve

예측비율곡선을 이용한 GIS 기반 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교

  • 지광훈 (한국지질자원연구원 국가지질자원정보센터) ;
  • 박노욱 (한국지질자원연구원 국가지질자원정보센터) ;
  • 박노욱 (중앙항업 지리정보연구소)
  • Published : 2001.09.01


The purpose of this study is to compare the landslide prediction models quantitatively using prediction rate curve. A case study from the Jangheung area was used to illustrate the methodologies. The landslide locations were detected from remote sensing data and field survey, and geospatial information related to landslide occurrences were built as a spatial database in GIS. As prediction models, joint conditional probability model and certainty factor model were applied. For cross-validation approach, landslide locations were partitioned into two groups randomly. One group was used to construct prediction models, and the other group was used to validate prediction results. From the cross-validation analysis, it is possible to compare two models to each other in this study area. It is expected that these approaches will be used effectively to compare other prediction models and to analyze the causal factors in prediction models.


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