Unemployment Duration and Re-employment Pattern : An Analysis using Weibull Model and Logistic Regression Model

실업자의 재취업과 재취업 형태에 관한 연구 : Weibull Survival Model과 Logistic Regression을 이용한 분석

  • Kang, Chul-Hee (Ewha Womans University, Department of Social Welfare) ;
  • Kim, Kyo-Seong (Sejong University, Graduate School of Public Administration)
  • 강철희 (이화여자대학교 사회복지학과) ;
  • 김교성 (세종대학교 행정대학원)
  • Published : 1999.12.25

Abstract

Little is known about unemployment duration and re-employment pattern. This paper empirically examines unemployment duration and re-employment pattern using data by the 1998 national survey about the unemployed and their needs. A parametric survival model(Weibull model) is adopted to identify variables predicting unemployment duration. It is found that the data including people without unemployment insurance as well as people with unemployment insurance fit the Weibull model including the hazard distribution that the hazard of reemployment is increasing at an decreasing rate. Variables that affect unemployment duration are age, householdership, family income, size of prior employment organization, and cause of unemployment. In re-employment pattern, statistically significant variables are age, type of prior employment industry, prior employment pattern, and membership in unemployment insurance. This paper provides a basic knowledge about realities of unemployed individuals in the economic crisis period of Korea, identifies research areas for further research, and develops policy implications for the unemployed.

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