On the estimation of parameters for the growth curve of the Korean Population

한국의 인구곡선 추정에 관한 연구

  • 구자흥 ((402-751) 인천직할시 남구 용현동 253, 인하대학교 통계학과)
  • Published : 1994.09.01


The purpose of this research is to obtain a Simple Logistic Curve for the curve fitting of Korean total Population. Based on the population census data from 1949 to 1990, the parameters are estimated by 3-group method. As the results, intercensal populations of Korea from 1950 to 190 are estimated, and Korean total populations from 1991 to 2010 A.D. are projected. And we also can suggest the upper asymptote 58, 616 thousands of Korean total population.



  1. 충남대 논문집 우리나라 인구증가 추세에 따른 이론적경향선의 추정 崔鐘碩
  2. 人口分析學 山口喜一(外)
  3. 人口統計學 岡崎陽一
  4. Handbook of Statistical methods for Demographers Jaffe,A.J.
  5. Korea Statistical Year Book v.38 Min,T.
  6. 人口分析の方法 Minoru Tachi
  7. Introduction to Demography Spieglman,M.